Epic Games Reveals Pirate Shop Access Odds After Fortnite Player Demands

Epic Games has published the official odds for finding the ultra-rare Pirate Shop Access token in Fortnite after days of player demands.

The chance of receiving the token from a chest in a normal match is 1 in 137,500, the company said in a Fortnite Status post on November 7.

Epic said those rates have remained constant since the Treasure Hunters mini-season began on November 1 and do not change throughout the day, except during scheduled Treasure Hours.

During Treasure Hours, the Pirate Shop Access rate is boosted by 1.5x, with Epic warning that future events could offer even higher multipliers.

The company also clarified that players cannot receive the same treasure twice, except for Gizmos.

The newly revealed rate confirms the reward is extremely rare but does not guarantee a token after a specific number of chest openings, as each chest remains a separate chance.

Players had called on Epic to reveal the odds after conflicting community estimates spread online, with no way to verify accuracy.

That has become especially frustrating for players who have spent hours opening chests without knowing whether they are experiencing normal bad luck or chasing a reward with an effectively unreachable chance.

Streamer Jynxzi reportedly spent more than 75 hours searching for the token, while Stable Ronaldo claims he has spent over 70 hours hunting.

Both streamers had called on Epic to publish the odds.

Prior to the announcement, Epic had only said that the reward works like a normal Battle Royale chest and that every player has an equal opportunity to find it.

That statement did not explain whether the chance was one in 100, one in 10,000, or the rumored 1/700,000.

Fortnite leaker Egyptian_Leaker previously claimed Epic created a system called “Clover” that could adjust the token’s odds without exposing numbers in game files.

Llamalaxy later claimed the reward roll is handled by a live backend service when a chest is opened, which would explain why dataminers cannot find a fixed percentage in the client.

Those claims have not been independently confirmed by Epic.

The Pirate Shop Access token grants two activations, each opening a 14-day window during which eligible Item Shop cosmetics can be claimed without spending V-Bucks.

Real-money offers, gifting, and Battle Pass rewards are excluded.

Epic’s official Treasure Hunters announcement says Treasure Hours will feature boosted drops, but it does not specifically confirm whether Pirate Shop Access becomes more likely during those events.

That leaves players with several unanswered questions, including whether the odds are fixed for the entire season, are the same for every player and chest type, can be changed by Epic during the event, or if Treasure Hours affect the token at all.

Epic’s public response has addressed equal access and scams, but it had not provided the numerical odds players were asking for until now.

Redington Cybersport reported in November that a viral video promising a compass to locate the rare tokens was a hoax.